From meta-studies to modeling: Using synthesis knowledge to build broadly applicable process-based land change models


This paper explores how meta-studies can support the development of process-based land change models (LCMs) that can be applied across locations and scales. We describe a multi-step framework for model development and provide descriptions and examples of how meta-studies can be used in each step. We conclude that meta-studies best support the conceptualization and experimentation phases of the model development cycle, but cannot typically provide full model parameterizations. Moreover, meta-studies are particularly useful for developing agent-based LCMs that can be applied across a wide range of contexts, locations, and/or scales, because meta-studies provide both quantitative and qualitative data needed to derive agent behaviors more readily than from case study or aggregate data sources alone. Recent land change synthesis studies provide sufficient topical breadth and depth to support the development of broadly applicable process-based LCMs, as well as the potential to accelerate the production of generalized knowledge through model-driven synthesis.

Publication Type
Journal Article
Jasper Van Vliet, Amsterdam Global Change Institute, University Amsterdam
Calum Brown
Tom P. Evans
Thomas Houet
Peter Messerli, University of Bern
Joseph P. Messina
Kimberly A. Nicholas
Christine Ornetsm├╝ller
Julian Sagebiel
Vanessa Schweizer, University of Waterloo
Peter H. Verburg
Qiangyi Yu
Environmental Modelling & Software