Testing and extending Ostrom’s frameworks: quantitative synthesis and modeling of social-ecological dynamics

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Award Year: 
2017
Principal Investigator: 
Graeme Cumming, James Cook University
Graham Epstein, University of Waterloo
Associated Program: 

 

The influences of governance and institutions on human-nature interactions are central to society’s most challenging and complex environmental problems. The Institutional Analysis and Development (IAD) framework developed by Lin Ostrom and her collaborators is a leading and widely adopted approach for thinking about common pool resource (CPR) management and its relation to biodiversity and ecosystem management. Its contributions to a broader theory of sustainability have, however, been limited by its lack of integration with quantitative models. Both the IAD framework and related ideas, such as the concept of polycentric governance,offer only a vague and very general summary of the structures of social-ecological systems (SES), making it impossible to rigorously test hypotheses that relate institutional design to management and policy outcomes. This project explores the idea that institutional structure can be quantified as a continuous variable by locating SESs on axes that describe system controls and regulation as heterarchies: that is, specific combinations of networks and hierarchies. We will use existing data sets, and simulation models of the four fundamental kinds of heterarchy, as the basis for exploring and extending the IAD framework. Quantitative simulations of SES dynamics in systems that are structured in known ways will be used to develop and test a theory of structure-process interactions in social-ecological systems. Such a theory has the potential to provide a mechanistic basis for understanding and modelling complex resource use systems. Our findings will have implications for both the theory and the practice of social-ecological sustainability.

Participants: 
Michael Cox, Dartmouth College
Lukas Egli, Heimholtz Centre for Environmental Research
Tiffany Morrison, ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
Christopher Weible, University of Colorado Denver
Mark Lubell, University of California Davis
Ralf Seppelt, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
Örjan Bodin, Stockholm University/Stockholm Resilience Centre
Georgina Gurney, ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies
Hayley Clements, Stellenbosch University
Marty Anderies, Arizona State University
Jacopo Alessandro Baggio, Utah State University
Sivee Chawla, James Cook University
Hita Unnikrishnan, The University of Sheffield
Maja Schlueter, Stockholm Resilience Centre/Stockholm University
Birgit Müller, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ
Sergio Villamayor Tomas, Autonomous University of Barcelona
Cristina Ioana Apetrei, Leuphana University Lüneburg
Nicholas Magliocca, University of Alabama
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