A framework for characterising and evaluating the effectiveness of environmental modelling

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Apr 13, 2019
Serena Hamilton, Baihua Fu, Joseph Guillaume, Jennifer Badham, Sondoss Elsawah, Patricia Gober, Randall Hunt, Takuya Iwanaga, Anthony Jakeman, Daniel Ames, Allan Curtis, Mary Hill, Suzanne Pierce, Fateme Zare



Environmental modelling is transitioning from the traditional paradigm that focuses on the model and its quantitative performance to a more holistic paradigm that recognises successful model-based outcomes are closely tied to undertaking modelling as a social process, not just as a technical procedure. This paper redefines evaluation as a multi-dimensional and multi-perspective concept, and proposes a more complete framework for identifying and measuring the effectiveness of modelling that serves the new paradigm. Under this framework, evaluation considers a broader set of success criteria, and emphasises the importance of contextual factors in determining the relevance and outcome of the criteria. These evaluation criteria are grouped into eight categories: project efficiency, model accessibility, credibility, saliency, legitimacy, satisfaction, application, and impact. Evaluation should be part of an iterative and adaptive process that attempts to improve model-based outcomes and foster pathways to better futures.

Read the article in Environmental Modelling and Software.

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